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    您的位置:首頁 > 白銀 > 下周風險事件云集 紙白銀能否借機咸魚翻身

    下周風險事件云集 紙白銀能否借機咸魚翻身

    2018-09-22 14:10:03 作者:admin 點擊:

    3月3日訊周五(3月2日)夜盤,工行紙白銀震蕩交投,夜盤報收3 37元 千克,漲幅0 27%回顧上周,鮑威爾講話給紙白銀重擊,但隨后特朗普發表貿易保護言論,對進口鋼鋁征收

      3月3日訊 周五(3月2日)夜盤,工行紙白銀震蕩交投,夜盤報收3.37元/千克,漲幅0.27%

      回顧上周,鮑威爾講話給紙白銀重擊,但隨后特朗普發表貿易保護言論,對進口鋼鋁征收關稅,紙白銀止跌反彈,但日線上整體下行趨勢依舊不改。展望下周,更重磅的非農數據來襲,美聯儲將發布經濟狀況褐皮書,多位美聯儲官員也將發表講話發表講話,屆時或左右投資者情緒的變化,從而影響市場走勢。

      美國勞工部將于北京時間周五21:30公布2月非農就業報告。分析師預計2月新增就業延續1月穩健的步伐,增加20萬左右,失業率料從17年低點下降0.1個百分點至4.0%,薪資同比增長或保持在逾八年高位。

      非農數據可以直觀的反映美國就業以及經濟情況,影響紙白銀走勢。上一次美國非農數據公布20萬人,高于預期的18.4萬,并遠超前值的16萬人。

      若本次非農數據繼續表現搶眼好于預期,不僅能產生短時間利空金銀的影響,并且從基本面上支持美聯儲加快加息步伐,對紙白銀施壓;如果數據不及預期,紙白銀將收獲利好,或能借機咸魚翻身。

      美聯儲主席鮑威爾在國會作證時對美國經濟持樂觀看法,推升了市場對今年加息四次的預期。美聯儲周四凌晨將公布反映經濟狀況的褐皮書,此外下周多位美聯儲官員將發表講話。

      

      紐約聯儲主席杜德利將前往美屬維爾京群島發表講話,美聯儲理事布雷納德將發表講話,達拉斯聯儲主席卡普蘭將在能源會議上發表講話。若美聯儲官員在講話中釋放漸進式加息的信息,紙白銀或繼續承壓走跌,反之,若官員講話偏鴿派,紙白銀或能止跌反彈。

      60分鐘走勢圖上,工行紙白銀震蕩交投在布林帶中軌和上軌之間,上方阻力位位于3.377附近 ,下方支撐位位于3.360附近。

      

      日線圖上,工行紙白銀下行趨勢不改,后市若跌破2月10日低位3.281,市場或看向2016年的低位3.107。上行方面,除非紙白銀能上破40日均線3.42的阻力位,后市才有望逆轉跌勢轉而上行。

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