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    美元多頭蠢蠢欲動 加息利劍仍懸在白銀上方

    2018-09-22 14:09:51 作者:admin 點擊:

    1月8日訊周一(1月8日)亞歐盤時段,美指連連上行,現貨白銀反應平淡,維持高位窄幅調整,現報17 162美元 盎司,跌幅0 10%。上周疲軟的非農就業數據似乎暗示美聯儲2

      1月8日訊 周一(1月8日)亞歐盤時段,美指連連上行,現貨白銀反應平淡,維持高位窄幅調整,現報17.162美元/盎司,跌幅0.10%。

      上周疲軟的非農就業數據似乎暗示美聯儲2018年將放緩加息,但薪資數據符合預期,未來還可能有進一步增長的趨勢,暗示美聯儲未來有加息可能。

      有分析稱,加息和稅改或能助攻美元反彈。布朗兄弟哈里曼分析師稱,美元在12月底到現在,一直被嚴重拋售,這意味著后市可能在低位反彈。

      而技術指標也在警告,美元存在拋售過度利空出盡的情況,后市有反彈可能。

      朝韓高級別會談將于1月9日在板門店舉行。與此同時,特朗普6日表示,“百分百支持”韓朝會談,并愿意和朝鮮最高領導人金正恩展開有條件對話。

      

      特朗普

      韓媒認為,南北接觸后能否促成美朝直接對話,此次高級別會談的結果將產生很大影響。

      若此會談順利,預計朝韓地緣危機將得到緩解,避險情緒降溫,白銀將失去一大利好。

      此外,周日特朗普前首席戰略師班農意外發表認錯聲明,對他批評總統長子的言論道歉,也令市場避險情緒降溫。

      美聯儲2018年加息次數仍是一大不確定性事件,目前市場對此預期存在分歧。今晚市場將迎來兩位美聯儲官員講話,料能透露部分貨幣政策信息。

      次日凌晨01:40,亞特蘭大聯儲主席博斯蒂克發表講話,凌晨02:35,舊金山聯儲主席威廉姆斯將發表講話。

      

      威廉姆斯

      從博斯蒂克此前言論來看,他對未來激進加息并未表露出強烈態度。威廉姆斯周末亦表示,2018年加息三次是合理的。

      市場目前對2018年加息次數較為敏感,美聯儲官員講話或能釋放貨幣政策信號,影響后市銀價走向。

      另外,投資者還需要留意美聯儲人事方面的最新消息,上周五晚美國國家經濟顧問科恩稱,美聯儲副主席人選很有可能將在本月公布。

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