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    這幾大利好因素卷土重來 白銀想跌可不容易!

    2018-09-22 14:09:17 作者:admin 點擊:

    1月10日訊周三(1月10日)亞盤開盤后,國際現貨白銀陷于窄幅震蕩,目前銀價在17美元關口下方徘徊無法突破。截止發稿,現貨白銀價格最高上探至17美元 盎司,最低下探至16

      1月10日訊 周三(1月10日)亞盤開盤后,國際現貨白銀陷于窄幅震蕩,目前銀價在17美元關口下方徘徊無法突破。截止發稿,現貨白銀價格最高上探至17美元/盎司,最低下探至16.91美元/盎司,目前暫交投于16.96美元/盎司,跌幅0.06%。

      

      現貨白銀價格走勢圖

      盡管眼下白銀顯露疲態處于頹勢,美元反彈避險情緒降溫,然而通脹壓力加劇、美國赤字支出增加、政府關門危機沒完沒了等等利好因素都能給白銀價格提供支撐,白銀下跌可不容易。

      盡管美聯儲走在貨幣政策正常化的道路上,市場對于美聯儲3月加息25個基點的預期已經有所反應,然而通脹依然低迷的現狀有可能會阻礙美聯儲加息的步伐,美元面臨潛在的下行風險,白銀則更具吸引力,有望進一步上行。

      目前已有多位美聯儲官員包括前美聯儲主席伯南克對美國通脹水平表示擔憂,同時2%通脹目標遭到質疑,調整政策目標的呼聲沸沸揚揚,鮑威爾上任后的第一件事恐怕就是關于通脹目標框架的扯皮。

      

      美聯儲主席伯南克

      美國的債務規模已突破20萬億美元大關,比重已達到自身GDP總量的104%,美國財務部長努欽要求提高債務限額。

      

      此前特朗普稅改法案使得美國財政部增加了1.5萬億美元的赤字支出,而近日以來罕見的冰雪災害天氣成為“東風”,揭露出美國殘破不堪的基礎設施的重大問題,使得特朗普基建計劃得到認同,或能襄助特朗普新政的落實,這也使得美國赤字壓力將不斷加劇。

      此外,由于美國稅改使得政府收入減少,并且在近期美國加州山火和東部大雪冰凍災害的侵襲之下,政府救災撥款讓財政支出更多,這些情況更加劇了聯邦政府關門危機,國會領導人表示可以提高債務上限。

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