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    10.18美指強勢回歸 黃金情緒低落

    2018-10-18 16:17:53 作者:admin 點擊:

    消息面而在歐系貨幣繼續承壓的同時,美元指數也延續反彈之旅,尾盤升至95 60一線。在歐洲市場亂局不改的狀況下,投資者依舊將美元資產視作

    消息面

    而在歐系貨幣繼續承壓的同時,美元指數也延續反彈之旅,尾盤升至95.60一線。在歐洲市場亂局不改的狀況下,投資者依舊將美元資產視作資金避風港。這也得到了美國近期持續向好的經濟數據的佐證。

    于是,美聯儲在當地時間周三發布的會議紀要也延續其此前一貫的調門,繼續給美國經濟唱高調,并強調了唯有繼續加息才能防止通脹抬頭和經濟過熱的這通大道理。而這顯然令美國總統特朗普好不尷尬。過去數周以來,特朗普一直強調,美聯儲加息步伐過快,對經濟不利,并可能是上周美股意外大跌的罪魁禍首。

    然而,就連特朗普本人也承認,美聯儲擁有獨立制定貨幣政策的充分權力,他無法也無意直接去指揮美聯儲主席鮑威爾及其同僚的工作。雖然,理論上美國總統有權將美聯儲官員強制解職,但特朗普表示,現在還遠沒有這個必要。這也就意味著,美聯儲在執行未來進一步政策緊縮政策時將會繼續有恃無恐。

    在美聯儲會議紀要發布后,投資者對12月再度加息的押注進一步上升,概率達到了八成以上,這讓美元指數也因之進一步走強,升至近一周以來的新高。而其對手盤現貨黃金與日元則承壓走低。而美股日內走勢則一波三折,早盤在美國商務部長羅斯暗示對歐貿易談判不利的狀況下下挫逾1%,此后在經濟樂觀情緒下收復日內全部跌幅,但此后美聯儲強化加息的預期提升美債收益率,又對股市不利。三大指數尾盤小幅收低。

    技術分析

    (黃金一小時k線圖 實盤圖)

    黃金高破位姿態的夭折伴隨著黃金價格的持續跌落。美元指數的崛起再次使得黃金價格承壓。圖中可以看到目前黃金價格在1222.7的位置,關鍵位置1220若突破可入場追空,若坐實可入場做多上方阻力位放在1224.5.MACD技術指標可以看出死叉處于收口狀態,綠色動能柱持續縮量。說明黃金價格短期上漲。

    操作建議

    1222-1223入場做多 止盈1224.5 止損1220

    ?

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