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    強勢美元攜“小非農”來襲,金價瀕臨險境

    2018-10-31 17:08:36 作者:admin 點擊:

    周三(10月31日)亞市盤初,現貨黃金小幅走弱逼近1220整數關口,也接近100日均線支撐,美國經濟數據樂觀,歐元和英鎊也持續走弱,美元指數隔

    周三(10月31日)亞市盤初,現貨黃金小幅走弱逼近1220整數關口,也接近100日均線支撐,美國經濟數據樂觀,歐元和英鎊也持續走弱,美元指數隔夜創逾一年新高,金價依然受到拖累,技術面短線看空信號也有所增強,投資者將關注晚間有著“小非農”之稱的美國10月份ADP就業報告。

    ★基本面消息


    ①美國10月消費者信心指數觸及十八年高點;


    周二(10月30日)數據顯示,美國10月諮商會消費者信心指數錄得137.9,為2000年9月以來最高;這主要受強勁的就業市場帶動,令人更加預期強勁的經濟增長將持續到2019年初。

    ②歐元區三季度GDP表現較差,意大利經濟陷入停滯

    歐元區第三季度GDP增速放緩至近四年最慢的0.2%,差于預期;數據表明,經濟放緩還將繼續,這將讓歐洲央行感到不安,歐洲央行將于12月結束2015年推出的旨在提振通脹和經濟增長的資產購買計劃。


    分析師表示,歐元區第三季經濟增幅從第二季的0.4%降至0.2%,不太可能改變上述結束購債計劃,但可能會推遲歐洲央行在結束刺激計劃后首次升息的日期。


    另外,因公眾信心轉為黯淡,意大利經濟不振的跡象,也突顯出歐元區第三大經濟體正成為其最薄弱環節之一的擔憂。


    數據顯示,意大利第三季經濟陷入停滯,意大利7-9月當季國內生產總值(GDP)較前季持平,反應內需和外貿皆未能提振意大利經濟成長。


    小編提醒,以上經濟數據的表現都是利好美元,尤其是美國經濟基本面強勁,令美聯儲有望在今年和明年繼續升息,對金價不利。不過隔夜德國CPI數據表現比較樂觀,有望支撐周三將出爐的歐元區CPI數據,需要予以留意。


    ③美國股市回升


    受助于芯片和運輸類股強勁上漲,投資者利用股市近期大幅回落的機會買入,美國股市三大股指周二收盤跳升逾1%。費城半導體指數大漲4.2%,為3月以來最大單日百分比漲幅。英特爾急升5.2%,給標普500指數帶來最大提振。


    道瓊工業指數收漲431.72點或1.77%,報24874.64點;標普500指數漲41.38點或1.57%,報2682.63點;納斯達克指數收高111.36點或1.58%,收報7,161.65點。


    小編提醒,美國股市的企穩反彈會削弱黃金的避險需求,對金價不利;投資者一方面,需要留意亞歐股市是否會跟隨美股上漲,另外需要留意美國股市的進一步走勢及黃金避險需求的變化。

    注意:上述資料不應被視為金融市場上投資建議或指導性意見,僅作為閱讀參考使用。金融交易有風險,投資需謹慎。

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