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    您的位置:首頁 > 原油 > 多重因素致油價斷崖式暴跌,EIA恐火上澆油

    多重因素致油價斷崖式暴跌,EIA恐火上澆油

    2018-10-24 16:49:12 作者:admin 點擊:

    周三(10月24日),亞盤盤中,油價疲軟,延續前一交易日跌勢。油價周二大跌約5%,至兩個月低位,因沙特稱,如有必要可能迅速增加原油供應,

    周三(10月24日),亞盤盤中,油價疲軟,延續前一交易日跌勢。油價周二大跌約5%,至兩個月低位,因沙特稱,如有必要可能迅速增加原油供應,這緩解了美國對伊朗制裁生效前的供應憂慮。此外,全球股市遭拋售引發對需求增長的擔憂。

    全球最大的石油出口國沙特阿拉伯周二表示,將以更快的速度增加原油產量,以應對兩周后對伊朗實施出口制裁導致供應緊張的緊張局面。

    截止當前,美油現報66.33美元/桶,日內跌幅0.15%;布倫特原油現報76.38美元/桶,跌幅0.08%。兩份原油合約均錄得7月以來最大單日百分比跌幅,現在建議采取觀望態度,看這情況是否會持續下去,從而演變成失控狀態。

    而就在三周前,WTI原油觸及2014年11月的高點76.47美元,而布倫特原油也飆升至86.73美元的四年高點。

    油價的暴跌也受到美股跌勢的影響,因對公司盈利增長的擔憂和意大利預算憂慮,導致投資者紛紛逃離股市。MSCI明晟全球市場指數一度下跌超過2%,觸及2017年9月以來最低。

    沙特在供應問題上的新立場,加上美國API原油庫存連續第五周增加,以及全球股市暴跌,導致油價當日下跌近5%。交易商表示,如果美國原油價格跌破重要心理大關65美元,可能引發更多技術性賣盤。

    沙特欲增加原油供應以填補缺口

    沙特眼下似乎傾向于向市場提供盡可能多的石油,并修復其在世界眼中受損的形象。此前因知名記者被殺事件,導致沙特“深陷危機”,許多西方國家表達對沙特政府及王儲薩爾曼的不滿。

    沙特能源部長法力赫周二在利雅得舉行的一個大會上稱,油市“狀況良好”,他表示,沙特希望OPEC+在12月簽署一項協議,以擴大在監測和穩定油市方面的合作。

    法力赫表示,沙特方面將決定是否出現供應受擾,尤其是在伊朗制裁即將到來的情況下。目前的想法是——滿足未來出現的任何需求,以確保客戶滿意。

    美國對伊朗石油行業的制裁將于11月4日生效,目前距離正式制裁還剩兩周時間。美國政府曾表示,希望阻斷伊朗所有的燃料出口,但其它產油國正在增加產量,以填補任何可能出現的供應缺口。

    此前市場一直擔心沙特可能會削減原油供應,以報復因記者卡舒吉被殺而可能遭受的制裁。法力赫對此強調稱,沙特無意這樣做,不排除未來沙特原油產量較當前水準高出100-200萬桶/日的可能性。

    沙特石油公司首席執行官表示,沙特只要三個月就能達到1200萬桶/日的最高產能。

    API原油庫存再度超預期大增,留意晚間EIA

    凌晨,美國石油協會(API)公布的數據顯示,原油庫存大幅增加988萬桶,預期增加355萬桶;汽油庫存減少285萬桶,精煉油庫存減少235萬桶。數據公布后,美油短線快速走低,再度跌破66美元關口。

    知名金融博客零對沖表示,市場對沙特就產量作出置評后,美油從日內低點略微反彈。API公布原油庫存大增988萬桶,創2017年2月來最大增幅,油價再度跌向65美元關口。

    此外,美國EIA原油庫存數據也將于日內晚些時候公布,原油投資者對此數據仍需保持高度重視。此前,EIA原油庫存已連續四周大幅增長,加上凌晨API原油庫存大增,EIA原油庫存大概率預計仍維持漲勢。一旦庫存增長,將再度引發油價短線下跌,美油或失守65美元一線的支撐。

    近來,交易員一直在減少原油期貨多頭頭寸來抑制對原油市場的敞口。數據顯示,在過去的三周里,基金管理公司將其合并頭寸削減1.87億桶。


    截至北京時間10月24日09:00,美國WTI原油現報66.32美元/桶。

    注意:上述資料不應被視為金融市場上投資建議或指導性意見,僅作為閱讀參考使用。金融交易有風險,投資需謹慎。

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