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    10月30日現貨黃金、白銀、原油、外匯短線交易策略

    2018-10-30 13:57:14 作者:admin 點擊:

    周二(10月30日)亞洲時段,美元指數暫時高位震蕩,美聯儲的加息前景仍在給匯價提供支撐,而市場對國際貿易局勢的擔憂有所升溫,美元有望震蕩

    周二(10月30日)亞洲時段,美元指數暫時高位震蕩,美聯儲的加息前景仍在給匯價提供支撐,而市場對國際貿易局勢的擔憂有所升溫,美元有望震蕩上探前期高點96.98附近阻力;現貨黃金則小幅走弱,受到貿易局勢和強勢美元的壓制,短線偏向震蕩下行;原油市場,需求前景不佳,主要產油國出現供給增加的跡象,油價也偏向震蕩下探。

    圖片點擊可在新窗口打開查看★10月30日金融市場熱點:

    1、德國10月份就業數據;

    2、意大利三季度GDP數據;

    3、歐元區10月工業景氣指數;

    4、歐元區三季度GDP數據;

    5、德國10月CPI數據;

    6、API原油庫存數據(次日凌晨);

    7、國際貿易局勢相關消息;

    8、意大利預算相關消息。


    注:本策略偏向技術面分析,基本面方面讀者還需留意小編要聞關于市場熱點的解析文章;任何時候行情都會有多種變數,本策略主要是描述概率相對較大的情況。


    ★10月30日現貨黃金、白銀、原油、外匯短線走勢分析


    1、美元指數


    解析:美國經濟數據依然比較樂觀,市場對本周美國其他經濟數據的預期也偏向樂觀,而且市場對貿易局勢的擔憂情緒有所升溫,更多資金買入美元避險,美元指數有望延續漲勢;技術面也偏向看多后市,關注逾一年高位96.98附近阻力的突破情況。


    日線級別:震蕩上漲;均線多頭排列,MACD金叉運行,KDJ金叉,布林線開口,匯價有望繼續演布林線上軌向上運行,不過上方正好面臨8月15日高點96.98附近阻力,該位置也是2017年7月份以來的高點,能否上破還有待觀察。


    如果上破該位置,則有望打開新的上漲空間,進一步較強的阻力在97.87附近,該位置是103.82-88.24跌勢的61.8%回撤位;另外,2017年6月27日高點阻力在97.45附近。


    下方初步支撐在5日均線95.54附近,10日均線支撐在96.19附近,若意外失守該位置,則削弱看漲信號。

    圖片點擊可在新窗口打開查看(美元指數日線圖)


    4小時級別:震蕩上漲,盡管匯價在高位出現了“吞沒看空”信號,但受到了上漲趨勢線的支撐,KDJ重新結成金叉,暗示高位調整已經結束,有望再攀新高,初步阻力在布林線上軌96.88附近,若上破該位置,則增加看漲信號。


    下方初步支撐在布林線中軌96.45附近,然后是96.27附近支撐,若意外失守該位置,則增加短線下行風險,布林線下軌支撐在96.03附近。

    圖片點擊可在新窗口打開查看(美元指數4小時圖)


    阻力:96.88;97.00;97.45;97.87;

    支撐:96.45;96.19;96.02;95.83。


    結論:偏向延續漲勢或者高位震蕩。


    2、現貨黃金


    解析:美國經濟數據相對強勁,美聯儲加息前景依然令金價承壓,而且市場對國際貿易局勢的擔憂情緒再度升溫,美元再獲避險資金青睞,有望震蕩攀高,也對金價不利;不過黃金ETF持倉有所增加,需要警惕。


    日線級別:局部震蕩筑頂;金價在布林線上軌附近受阻,也未能有效升破前期跌勢的38.2%回撤位1238.52附近阻力,重要阻力位附近錄得倒錘子線后緊跟陰線,KDJ死叉運行,MACD紅色柱萎縮,有結成死叉的跡象,金價短線初步見頂;關注10月22日低點1220附近支撐,100日均線支撐也在該位置附近,若失守該位置,則增加看空信號;強支撐在8月28日高點1214.25附近,若進一步下破,則增加看空信號。


    上方5日均線阻力在1231.47附近,然后隔夜高點1235.42附近也形成了一些阻力;若意外回升至該位置上方,則削弱短線看空信號。

    圖片點擊可在新窗口打開查看(現貨黃金日線圖)


    4小時級別:震蕩;MACD死叉,布林線收口后輕微開口,短線偏向下行,初步支撐在1220.00附近,然后是1215.60附近,較強的支撐在1210.37附近;能否進一步下破還有待觀察。


    不過,KDJ在接近超賣區有結成金叉的跡象,上方留意布林線上軌1231.67附近阻力,若收復該位置,則削弱短線看空信號;布林線上軌阻力在1237.05附近。

    圖片點擊可在新窗口打開查看(現貨黃金4小時圖)


    阻力:1231.67;1235.42;1238.52;1243.40;1248.51;

    支撐:1220.00;1214.25;1210.37;1204.08;1200.00。

    小編短線操作建議:觀望或逢高做空。


    3、現貨白銀


    日線級別:震蕩;MACD初步結成死叉,KDJ也死叉運行,銀價初步失守布林線中軌和上漲趨勢線支撐,短線偏向下行,可能會進一步試探布林線下軌14.26附近支撐;如果進一步下破,則可能重新試探前期低點13.92附近支撐。


    如果堅守14.26附近支撐,則需要繼續關注布林線軌道14.26-14.81區域的突破情況。


    短線布林線中軌14.53已經轉化為初步阻力所在,10月24日低點阻力在14.56附近,在收復該位置前,后市偏向下行。


    若銀價意外收復上一交易日全部跌幅,則增加看漲信號。

    圖片點擊可在新窗口打開查看(現貨白銀日線圖)


    阻力:14.56;14.81;14.91;15.00;15.22;

    支撐:14.26;14.16;14.00;13.92;13.64。


    結論:收復14.56前,后市偏向下行。


    特別提醒1:投資者需要認清一點,對于普通投資者來說,大部分時間應該以觀望為主,耐心等待最好的機會出手,避免頻繁交易是公認的致勝法寶之一。不要企圖抓住全部的波動,也不要奢望對每一段行情都判斷正確。


    特別提醒2:本策略偏向短線和日內交易,對于隔夜未觸及盈利目標的單子,投資者若有把握,則繼續持有,止盈止損微調或不變;若沒有把握,則直接平倉觀望。喜歡和尚策略的讀者可以在評論區點贊,也可以提一些建議,小編會綜合參考,因策略中包含價位過多,個別編輯錯誤和不足之處還請多多包涵。

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