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    銅市連續八年供應不足 市場看好銅價繼續走高

    2018-09-22 14:09:33 作者:admin 點擊:

    在消息利好的多重因素下,期貨銅反彈動能十分強勁,大力展開漲勢,創下2014年1月以來新高。昨日滬銅主力合約1710的價格也順利站上52000元大關,收于52190元,突破

      在消息利好的多重因素下,期貨銅反彈動能十分強勁,大力展開漲勢,創下2014年1月以來新高。昨日滬銅主力合約1710的價格也順利站上52000元大關,收于52190元,突破了年初時銅價51800元的階段新高,當前,機構間對銅價后市主流的判斷是銅價短期內仍將保持上行。

      本周銅價已兩日上漲,打破了此前兩周以來震蕩的走勢。在經濟出現向好和美元指數走弱的背景之下,全球基本金屬價格近期均呈現出普漲的格局。分析人士表示,近期庫存下降彰顯出了國內基本面的向好,利多國內銅價,短期來看,銅價仍有望繼續走高。

      近期國家第四批環保督察入駐吉林、浙江、山東、海南、四川、西藏、青海、新疆八地開展環保督察。據悉,這些地區廢舊市場近期受到了不小的影響,同時,不少違規小型銅廠再度關停,拆解企業的開工率也出現下降。

      分析人士表示,不斷加大的環保力度是推動近期現貨銅價上漲的直接動力,同時也使市場把對后市現貨供應方面可能不足的憂慮傳導至期貨市場,這是近期銅價格上行的主要原因。

      另外,第一黃金網小編認為,近期美聯儲官員表態稱通脹風險可能偏下行,降低了9月再次加息的可能性,同時表態稱,9月份的縮表計劃幅度是適當的,因此,短期美元可能仍無法得到提振。這對銅價來說無疑也是一大利好。

      招商證券也表示,短期來看,由于國內環保和礦山安全整頓對于國內銅礦影響仍在繼續,銅價有繼續上漲動力。而從中長期來看,銅價整體上也將仍舊偏多。此外,下半年可能的銅礦罷工事件也應被持續關注。

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