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    寶鑫盈貴金屬:天通銀--現貨白銀操作建議2015.6

    2017-12-05 20:53:55 作者:admin 點擊:

    得益于歐元兌美元跳漲200余點和數據疲軟導致美元大幅走軟,美國COMEX美元指數大幅下挫,跌至一周低位,主要受美數據疲軟和美聯儲官員鴿派言論打壓。歐元兌美元大幅飆升,日內上漲幅度超過200點,因通脹超預期且希臘憂慮緩解。受到昨日歐元暴漲的影響,美元指數大幅下挫,日內跌幅近2%,今晚將公布5月ADP就業人口數據,前值16.9萬人,預期值20萬人,如公布數據符合預期,將促使美元指數上演沖上云霄的劇情。

    行情回顧

    上一日現貨白銀沖高受阻,最高點打到3320,最低點3276,日線收下影線較長小陽線,今日受10日均線所壓制,開盤后繼續下跌.

    基本面利好因素

    得益于歐元兌美元跳漲200余點和數據疲軟導致美元大幅走軟,美國COMEX 8月黃金期貨價格周二收盤上漲5.70美元,漲幅0.5%,報1194.40美元/盎司,創六個交易日來收盤高位。

    周二市場撲朔迷離,強勢美元失去往日光輝,昨晚相關經濟數據、官員言論以及經濟事件幾乎全部和美元作對,而美元的對手貨幣歐元可謂峰回路轉。美元指數大幅下挫,跌至一周低位,主要受美數據疲軟和美聯儲官員鴿派言論打壓;歐元兌美元大幅飆升,日內上漲幅度超過200點,因通脹超預期且希臘憂慮緩解。

    基本面利空因素

    昨晚公布的美國當周API原油庫存數據顯示,美原油庫存出現明顯增加,公布值為+180萬桶,前值為+130萬桶,原油庫存意外增加,導致原油承壓下行,出現小幅回落。

    受到昨日歐元暴漲的影響,美元指數大幅下挫,日內跌幅近2%,今晚將公布5月ADP就業人口數據,前值16.9萬人,預期值20萬人,如公布數據符合預期,將促使美元指數上演沖上云霄的劇情。

    技術面

    現貨白銀日線圖

    從現貨白銀日線圖看,上方10日均線構成壓制,昨日未反彈上去,下方的120日均線構成強大支撐.連續支撐了幾日的行情今日區間很窄,從附圖指標MACD上看MACD處于中位零軸綠柱收縮,短期方向不是很明朗。從技術指標RSI上看RSI位于50附近下方仍有空間。今日操作建議高拋低吸。

    操作建議

    3220-3230附近做空,止損30點。

    今日關注

    20:15美國5月ADP就業人數變動(萬人)

    20:30加拿大4月貿易賬(億加元)

    22:30美國上周EIA原有庫存變化(萬桶)

    寶鑫盈貴金屬

    中盈金融研究院:李光耀

    2015.6.3

    ?

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