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    巴黎暴恐催生避嫌,金銀仍受加息遏制

    2017-12-05 20:53:56 作者:admin 點擊:

    現貨黃金日線上目前企穩5日均線突破10均線短期有繼續反彈回測1100關口和前期1124上方遇阻位的動力雖然下方連續陷入低位震蕩但整體走勢上和我們前期判斷基本一樣本周如能收復企穩10均線則有繼續上探2040均線的可能因此本周上方重要阻力首先看11041105突破上方阻力延伸看1118強阻力將在1130附近而下方重要支撐首先看低位連續兩次反彈遇阻的1089破位下方看1080強支撐仍然繼續看前低1070附近隨著前期連續十幾個交易日的大跌修正后在預期加息窗口前短期將現技術性反彈做多的機會但重點要關注1100整數關口如逞震蕩筑底階段那么短期10801100區間也將有高拋低吸的區間操作機會技術上看盤面目前正在挑戰10均線如能企穩將指向20動力早間筆者龍超建議10921094做空止損1098此單掃損倉位小于1W美金的客戶建議觀望大于1W美金的客戶1096開始分批布局空1098加倉此單目前盈利中目標看1090減倉繼續下行看10881085一線全部獲利離場晚間下方觸及1083一線開始布局多單目標看10901092離場上方等待1096再次布局空單目標看10901088一線離場。

    正如筆者龍超上周所料本周開盤即是高開但未能料想到避險情緒如此強烈早間黃金開盤在1090附近由于高開出現短暫回落最低觸及1085附近而后避險升溫多頭發力黃金一路反彈最高觸及1098附近初步試探1100一線阻力受阻回落現徘徊在1092附近盤整等待白銀價格同樣出現小幅反彈此事件引發地緣政治風險刺激金銀價格上漲同時強勁的非農就業報告推高美聯儲年內加息預期多個美聯儲官員釋放鷹派措辭美元保持強勢對金價持續打壓日內金價目前的高點后市難破反彈也將有限高空是唯一的主題下方強力支撐可帶損操作多單

    龍超認為基本面因素的影響將很快再度顯露短期關注點方面盡管周五美國零售銷售數據疲弱但美聯儲仍有可能在下月加息然而歐洲央行則考慮擴大經濟刺激舉措在這樣的背景下美元應會有更強表現黃金仍將受到打壓但在巴黎恐怖襲擊事件上股市也受事件沖擊上周五美國市場收盤后在法國首都巴黎發生持槍襲擊和爆炸事件導致132人喪生標準普爾500指數期貨跌約1尾盤交投清淡

    另一方面歐元周一在亞洲盤初因上周五巴黎發生恐怖襲擊事件而承壓受該事件影響加上美股大跌投資者風險偏好下降黃金獲得短暫利好才出現周一高開局面

    龍超分析謹慎地指出黃金價格上漲恐怕僅僅短期性現象而已畢竟貴金屬市場的走勢可能仍然由美聯儲FED來決定值得一提的是美國聯邦公開市場委員會FOMC下一次貨幣政策會議將在12月份舉行在美國10月非農就業人口增幅意外地迅猛擴大至271萬且失業率意外降至50的情況下投資者對美聯儲在12月份開始加息的預期陡然升溫

    現貨黃金日線上目前企穩5日均線突破10均線短期有繼續反彈回測1100關口和前期1124上方遇阻位的動力雖然下方連續陷入低位震蕩但整體走勢上和我們前期判斷基本一樣本周如能收復企穩10均線則有繼續上探2040均線的可能因此本周上方重要阻力首先看11041105突破上方阻力延伸看1118強阻力將在1130附近而下方重要支撐首先看低位連續兩次反彈遇阻的1089破位下方看1080強支撐仍然繼續看前低1070附近隨著前期連續十幾個交易日的大跌修正后在預期加息窗口前短期將現技術性反彈做多的機會但重點要關注1100整數關口如逞震蕩筑底階段那么短期10801100區間也將有高拋低吸的區間操作機會技術上看盤面目前正在挑戰10均線如能企穩將指向20動力早間筆者龍超建議10921094做空止損1098此單掃損倉位小于1W美金的客戶建議觀望大于1W美金的客戶1096開始分批布局空1098加倉此單目前盈利中目標看1090減倉繼續下行看10881085一線全部獲利離場晚間下方觸及1083一線開始布局多單目標看10901092離場上方等待1096再次布局空單目標看10901088一線離場

    現貨白銀寧貴銀日線雖然連陰使得各技術指標均指向空頭但主圖指標K線在最后的4個交易日里并非不斷刷新前一根K線的低點低點越來越相近有形成底部跡像加之周六巴黎方面的消息影響早間白銀高開高走雖有回落修復的需求若今日日線收線能夠收取陽星本波白銀跌勢便可宣告結束副圖指標MACD負值死叉放量但綠色能量柱低點抬高KDJRSI均由超賣區勾頭向上日線空頭不變但有調整需求4小時圖顯示銀價震蕩筑底信號明顯短期維持低位窄幅震蕩價格企穩2980上方將確立上漲反彈勢頭目前以低位29002980區間震蕩對待操作上建議區間內高拋低吸macd技術指標嚴重底背離謹防借助風險事件前期空頭獲利了結引發價格報復性反彈現貨白銀寧貴銀任意時間見29102900做多止損2880下利潤目標回看2960上方首次試探29803000附近沽空止損3030上方目標下看2920

    現貨瀝青寧貴瀝青自11月2日上線以來整體走的一個下跌的趨勢周線上連收兩根大陰最高觸及4655最低下探3872自上市以來下跌近800個點日線上現貨瀝青已經收取八陰兩陽目前k線運行于布林帶下軌上方布林帶嚴重張口周期均線向下發散運行附圖MACD指標雙線位于0軸下方運行綠色動能持續放量指標強性隨機指標KDJ均位于超賣區持平運行1小時線上k線運行于布林帶下軌上方布林帶開口持續向下短周期均線向下發散運行其他各周期均線排列運行短期內上方關注MA10均線3940的阻力下方關注前期低點3872的支撐附圖MACD指標雙線位于0軸下方持平運行綠色動能指標弱勢相對強弱指標RSI交金叉上揚操作上筆者龍超建議反彈做空為主阻力位39604000支撐位39003850現貨瀝青寧貴瀝青可于39804000可做空止損4030附近利潤目標上看3940破位可持至于3900離場瀝青下破3900待反彈3930做空單止損3970附近目標38803860破位可持有

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