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    1.3商品期貨操作策略

    2019-01-03 17:25:50 作者:admin 點擊:

    周三工業品集體震蕩回落,晚間慣性下探之后,黑色、化工板塊強勢反彈上揚,大部分品種收復白天回落幅度,有色板塊以滬銅跌勢較為流暢,此時

    周三工業品集體震蕩回落,晚間慣性下探之后,黑色、化工板塊強勢反彈上揚,大部分品種收復白天回落幅度,有色板塊以滬銅跌勢較為流暢,此時工業品整體走勢傾向于反復洗盤。盤中可以重點觀察反彈走勢延續表現,尤其是化工板塊,一般中期下跌趨勢的反彈,仍需尋找理想沽空入場機會,黑色板塊還需觀察上周橫向強壓測試表現,控制好參與節奏。農產品板塊,油粕進入短線反彈,預計慣性拉升流暢難度較大,短線沖高預期,棉花注意下方低點測試表現。

      有色金屬

      滬銅1903:周三滬銅低開走低,中陰線報收。從滬銅走勢來看,昨日中陰線擊穿48000關口,晚間低點回踩47000一帶,實現一波慣性殺跌走勢。預計滬銅盤中還將維持疲態,短期壓制參考47400-47600一帶,留意承壓該區域遇阻回落表現。

      建議:滬銅順利回落擊穿48000關口,晚間依托47000一帶提示空單逐步止盈離場。盤中可以依托47400-47600一帶新倉空單逐步接回,維持震蕩低走預期,尾盤重點注意47000一帶,收低至該線附近,應有進一步殺跌實現,弱勢下行預期。

      滬鎳1905:周三滬鎳最高觸及88380,尾盤大幅增倉走低,中陰線報收。從滬鎳走勢來看,昨日中陰線延續節前跌勢進一步殺跌,低點實現86000一帶提示下探目標,走勢與提示一致。參考晚間大幅減倉反彈表現,短期還需重點觀察針對89000一帶回升測試表現。

      建議:滬鎳延續節前跌勢,順利回踩至提示低點86000一帶,給出空單止盈離場機會。預計盤中應有慣性沖高實現,重點注意89000一帶,日內主要運行區域對應88000-89000一帶,強勢運行預期。空單低點止盈離場之后,可以進入觀望階段。

      黑色板塊

      螺紋1905:周三螺紋最高觸及3439,最低觸及3371,上影陰線報收。從螺紋走勢來看,受集體疲弱打壓,昨日螺紋順利回踩測試3350-3370一帶,走勢與提示一致。參考螺紋晚間動態中陽線收復昨日陰線回落幅度表現,預示短期走勢仍是反復洗盤。上方可以重點留意3450-3470一帶,該區域對應此前高點壓制位置,留意測試之后遇阻回落表現。

      建議:螺紋昨日順利回落至3370下方,給出空單止盈離場機會,預計洗盤回升高點對應3450-3470一帶,該區域可以參考空單擇機繼續入場位置,留意遇阻回落表現,收低至3400或者該線之下,空單可以繼續持有,對于中陽線抗跌走勢,此時空單日內為宜。

      鐵礦1905:周三鐵礦最高觸及497,最低觸及488,中陰線報收。從鐵礦走勢來看,昨日中陰線回落至490之下,晚間重新收復回落幅度,技術形態維持洗盤上漲走勢。盤中鐵礦可以重點觀察針對500關口測試表現,留意能否慣性沖破該線。

      建議:鐵礦昨日順利給出485-490一帶空單止盈離場位置,目前盤面表現過于抗跌,背靠500關口沽空思路還需謹慎,盤中可以進入觀察階段。

      焦炭1905:周三焦炭最高觸及1912,最低觸及1868,上影陰線報收。從焦炭走勢來看,昨日延續節前回落走勢震蕩下探,晚間在1840一帶大幅下探回升,進入強勢反彈階段。盤中重點留意依托1930-1950一帶運行表現,該區域對應焦炭對稱沖高目標位置,應在測試之后實現一定幅度回落洗盤,洗盤重心留意1900一帶。

      建議:焦炭昨日順利在1910一帶遇阻回落,相對低點給出1850-1870一帶止盈機會,走勢與提示一致。日內重點注意承壓1930-1950一帶逐步回落表現,如能順利回落至1900附近,可以空單擇機離場,短線為主,沽空階段如果遇到1950向上沖破走勢,空單不宜過久持有。

      化工板塊

      原油1903:周三原油最高觸及383,下午逐步走低,中陰線報收。從原油走勢來看,昨日中陰線回落下破370一帶,晚間強勢拉升至390上方,對應延續洗盤反彈走勢。盤中重點觀察390-400一帶,該區域對應此前提示高點壓制位置,應在沖高測試之后出現一定幅度遇阻回落,可以先看385一帶回踩下探表現。

      建議:原油反彈強壓位置仍建議參考390-400一帶,依托395-400一帶可以新倉空單逐步跟進,止損參考400一線回升站穩,回落階段依次觀察385、370兩檔位置,至少下破385才可以空單繼續留持,維持依托強壓擇機短空思路。

      滬膠1905:周一滬膠最低觸及11210,最高觸及11340,十字星報收。從滬膠走勢來看,節前中陽線回升至11300一帶,昨日依托該線震蕩整理,呈現企穩跡象,預計盤中應有慣性拉升實現,重點觀察11400-11500一帶測試表現。

      建議:滬膠主要運行區域對應11000-11500一帶,回升測試11400-11500可以考慮空單擇機跟進,止損參考11500一線沖破站穩,只要不破該線,后續有望回落殺跌至11200一帶,短線沽空參與思路,維持中期反復洗盤預期。

    以上就是關于“1.3商品期貨操作策略”的全部內容。

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